Britain should brace for ‘early’ flu outbreak that could kill 60,000 people, warn experts

The confluence of influenza and coronavirus has fanned fears the UK may face a “twindemic” this winter, killing as much as 60,000 Britons. Researchers have now warned {that a} surge in instances in Croatia may result in an early outbreak of infections within the UK. The most recent experiences present that instances of seasonal flu are slowly ticking up.

An professional has warned that the UK is ripe for an outbreak of the flu following a surge in instances abroad.

Physician McCauly, a flu scientist based mostly at Francis Crick Institute in London, warned instances have skyrocketed in Croatia, India and China, threatening to brush throughout Europe.

Flu outbreaks in China may shortly arrive within the UK and different international locations by abroad travellers, defined physician McCauly.

He instructed Mailonline: “It’s over the following few weekends that we will inform if what we’re seeing now could be sustained. Whether it is, we would anticipate an early flu season.

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“There’s flu being picked up in some locations, however the place it’s spreading in a few of these (e.g Norway and the Netherlands) just isn’t identified for sure.

“There was flu in China from January – however at considerably decrease ranges than two years in the past.

“India has had flu as properly – however it’s troublesome to know the way widespread it’s in such a big nation.”

Physician Jenny Harries, chief government of the UK Well being Safety Company had beforehand mentioned the continued coronavirus pandemic may collide with the seasonal influenza outbreak this 12 months.

Consultants have warned {that a} 12 months of social restrictions – which included mask-wearing, social distancing and distant work – have performed key roles in weakening immune defences in opposition to the flu.


What’s extra, these social restrictions have been behind a dramatic discount within the variety of flu instances recorded within the UK final winter.

This has fuelled fears that rampant viruses and waning immunity may kill as much as 60,000 Britons this 12 months.

The confluent viruses may additionally threaten to overwhelm the overstretched NHS.

Professor Francois Balloux, a geneticist at College Faculty London, mentioned it was attainable for flu instances to surge earlier this 12 months.

He defined: “One argument that this might occur is that so few folks have been uncovered to the flu during the last 12 months, that they don’t have sufficient safety.

“However, trying on the figures, we’re nonetheless at a really inter-seasonal degree of flu.

“It may choose up, and possibly there are glints of it beginning to develop, however I might not anticipate it to take off simply but.”

To this point, official knowledge reveals flu instances within the UK stay low at 0.2 p.c within the week of October 3.

Based on the most recent experiences, there have been 10 flu infections detected within the final week of September, in comparison with simply two weeks in the past.

UK Well being Safety Company – reveals instances of flu are ticking up slowly, however consultants insist it’s nonetheless too early to inform whether or not the UK will face a serious flu season.

Greater than 35 million Britons have been supplied the flu vaccine to this point, as a part of the largest flu vaccine drive within the historical past of the NHS.

These at the moment eligible for the jab embody over-50s, healthcare employees, and immunosuppressed people.

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