A very powerful factor in regards to the outcomes of Tamil Nadu meeting elections, the efficiency of All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) led by Chief Minister Edappadi Palaniswami has been good.
The efficiency of the social gathering, which has been ruling the state for the previous decade, regardless of the anti-incumbency wave, has pressured political observers to reward Palaniswami, because it was Palaniswami who campaigned for the social gathering on his personal.
On the similar time, his opponents who challenged him had been working the election marketing campaign of DMK along with MK Stalin, Kanimozhi and Udayanidhi.
However, right now the most important query within the political circles of Tamil Nadu is that, did its ally Bharatiya Janata Occasion develop into a hindrance in the best way of AIADMK getting energy for the third time in a row?
Most political observers and AIADMK members are answering sure to this query.
Political analyst S Murari instructed BBC Hindi that, “It’s clear that the BJP has harmed the AIADMK. There was no explicit resentment within the public towards the AIADMK authorities. However, there was resentment among the many folks towards the BJP and Prime Minister Narendra Modi. It was clearly seen.”
AIADMK has accomplished very nicely in western Tamil Nadu. Among the many folks, this area of Tamil Nadu is called Kongu Belt. The Gounder caste has the very best variety of folks right here.
Chief Minister Palaniswami comes from this caste. The AIADMK has additionally accomplished nicely in northern Tamil Nadu, which is dominated by the Vanniyar group. Right here the AIADMK had an alliance with the PMK, a celebration of the Vanniyar group.
Palaniswami took over because the chief minister after the loss of life of AIADMK supremo and stalwart J Jayalalithaa. Along with his coming to energy, Palaniswami had a battle with Jayalalithaa’s shut aide Sasikala and her nephew TTV Dhinakaran.
Palaniswami was concerned on this political battle for nearly two years. After that, someday in 2019, Palaniswami was capable of begin work correctly as Chief Minister. He had positively obtained assist from the BJP authorities on the Centre.
However, as Murari places it, “the BJP’s addition proved to be a political burden for Palaniswami.”
Murari mentioned that, “Tamil Nadu’s outdated anti-centre stance (which has continued for the reason that anti-Hindi agitation in 1967) was joined by resentment with Modi this time. Unhappiness with the BJP was seen throughout in Tamil Nadu. “
One other political analyst D Suresh Kumar instructed BBC Hindi that, “If the AIADMK had not succumbed to the BJP, its efficiency within the meeting elections will surely have been higher. The AIADMK had given 20 seats to the BJP, however the BJP The strike fee of victory is seen solely at 20 p.c.
Fairly, the actual fact is that within the second part of his marketing campaign, DMK chief Stalin had repeatedly reiterated that ‘Vote for AIADMK means vote for BJP’.
Even throughout the 2019 Lok Sabha elections when Modi gained a landslide victory, the Modi magic didn’t work in Tamil Nadu in any respect and the BJP took the AIADMK together with it.
A supporter with an image of DMK chief MK Stalin
Suresh Kumar compares the outcomes of this time’s meeting elections with the outcomes of the 2004 Lok Sabha elections. Then the DMK had gained all of the 39 Lok Sabha seats within the state. At the moment additionally the AIADMK needed to bear the lack of the alliance with the BJP.
After that in 2006, Jayalalithaa gained greater than 60 seats. Suresh Kumar says that, “Plainly Palaniswami has accomplished higher on this election than Jayalalithaa’s efficiency at the moment.”
However, the electoral historical past of Tamil Nadu exhibits that, for the reason that time of MG Ramachandran (well-known movie actor and founding father of AIADMK), the AIADMK has by no means been profitable in getting its votes to the BJP.
N Satyamurthy, director of the Chennai unit of the Observer Analysis Basis, a suppose tank, instructed BBC Hindi that, “You could have observed that this time the AIADMK candidates didn’t even use Modi’s image of their election marketing campaign.”
Satyamurthy mentioned, “The voters of Tamil Nadu are extra involved about their livelihood. The BJP had tried its divisive political techniques. The social gathering additionally tried the Vel Yatra technique and used the title of the deity Murugan. The reality is that this. It’s that the election outcomes are an enormous setback for the BJP.”
However BJP basic secretary in-charge of Tamil Nadu CT Ravi instructed BBC Hindi that the election outcomes are literally telling a very completely different story.
He additional mentioned, “It was us that made the AIADMK carry out so nicely. If you’re trying tightly on the scale that we harmed the AIADMK, then inform us how we got here to energy in neighboring Puducherry. Are you?”
The BJP has carried out tremendously within the Union Territory of Puducherry. There the BJP alliance led by NR Congress President N Rangaswamy has snatched energy from the Congress.
CT Ravi says that, “Regardless of ruling Tamil Nadu for ten years, the AIADMK has carried out nicely within the elections. However, it’s not that the AIADMK has achieved this success with out the assist of the BJP. We’re but to know the outcomes of the elections. Extra evaluation must be accomplished. We’ve to see what number of votes Sasikala’s nephew TTV Dhinakaran’s social gathering obtained and the way a lot injury it precipitated to AIADMK.”
One other fascinating facet of this election is that many BJP candidates have gained in some seats. However, social gathering leaders imagine that there might be sympathy votes behind it. As a result of, BJP leaders had been working onerous in these meeting constituencies for a lot of a long time.
On the entire, this time in Tamil Nadu BJP has performed the identical function for AIADMK as Congress had broken DMK in 2016 meeting elections.
Because of this, this time the DMK had given solely 25 seats to the Congress, that too after the intervention of Rahul Gandhi.
That is yet one more election when Tamil Nadu voters have expressed their resentment in the direction of nationwide events, relationship again to the anti-Hindi agitations of the Sixties.
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